Preseason Rankings
Florida A&M
Mid-Eastern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.4#341
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.8#308
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-10.3#350
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#260
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 12.1% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 8.2% 31.0% 8.0%
.500 or above in Conference 42.1% 68.2% 41.9%
Conference Champion 5.9% 10.8% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 16.2% 8.2% 16.3%
First Four5.1% 10.8% 5.1%
First Round2.3% 4.1% 2.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 30 - 30 - 9
Quad 48 - 119 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 64   @ USC L 56-81 1%    
  Nov 09, 2019 183   @ Hawaii L 56-71 9%    
  Nov 10, 2019 247   Pacific L 57-66 21%    
  Nov 11, 2019 165   South Dakota L 58-71 12%    
  Nov 23, 2019 17   @ Seton Hall L 52-82 0.4%   
  Dec 02, 2019 50   @ Kansas St. L 46-72 1%    
  Dec 04, 2019 30   @ Tennessee L 52-81 1%    
  Dec 16, 2019 285   @ Portland L 60-69 21%    
  Dec 19, 2019 157   @ Washington St. L 61-78 7%    
  Dec 21, 2019 168   @ Seattle L 56-72 8%    
  Dec 31, 2019 35   @ Iowa St. L 54-82 1%    
  Jan 04, 2020 322   @ NC Central L 59-65 29%    
  Jan 06, 2020 325   @ N.C. A&T L 60-66 30%    
  Jan 11, 2020 329   Morgan St. W 70-69 50%    
  Jan 13, 2020 348   Coppin St. W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 18, 2020 323   @ South Carolina St. L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 20, 2020 322   NC Central L 62-63 49%    
  Jan 25, 2020 337   @ Howard L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 27, 2020 318   @ Norfolk St. L 62-68 30%    
  Feb 01, 2020 326   Bethune-Cookman L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 08, 2020 337   Howard W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 10, 2020 325   N.C. A&T L 63-64 49%    
  Feb 15, 2020 349   @ Delaware St. L 49-50 46%    
  Feb 17, 2020 350   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 44-45 48%    
  Feb 22, 2020 318   Norfolk St. L 65-66 48%    
  Feb 24, 2020 323   South Carolina St. L 67-68 50%    
  Mar 05, 2020 326   @ Bethune-Cookman L 65-71 31%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 5.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 2.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 3.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 4.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.5 3.0 0.3 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.2 0.7 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.2 1.1 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.1 1.9 0.1 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.2 5.0 2.6 0.2 11.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.3 4.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 11.2 10th
11th 0.6 1.8 3.0 3.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 10.0 11th
Total 0.6 1.9 4.2 7.0 9.1 10.7 12.2 12.1 11.4 9.8 7.5 5.9 3.9 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 97.1% 1.0    0.9 0.1 0.0
13-3 79.8% 1.7    1.2 0.5 0.0
12-4 45.1% 1.8    0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
11-5 13.2% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 42.5% 42.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.4% 39.8% 39.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-2 1.0% 35.5% 35.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7
13-3 2.1% 28.7% 28.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.5
12-4 3.9% 19.5% 19.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.2
11-5 5.9% 15.4% 15.4% 16.0 0.9 5.0
10-6 7.5% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.8 6.7
9-7 9.8% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.6 9.1
8-8 11.4% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.5 10.9
7-9 12.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 11.9
6-10 12.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 12.0
5-11 10.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.6
4-12 9.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.1
3-13 7.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.0
2-14 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.2
1-15 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
0-16 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.3 94.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%